Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000244 0.000273 0.000305 0.000342 0.000384 0.000429 0.000484
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000185 0.000226 0.000274 0.000335 0.000410 0.000502 0.000621
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000152 0.000198 0.000255 0.000333 0.000438 0.000573 0.000763
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000128 0.000175 0.000237 0.000327 0.000453 0.000627 0.000887
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000114 0.000162 0.000229 0.000331 0.000481 0.000699 0.001045
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000102 0.000151 0.000222 0.000333 0.000506 0.000769 0.001205
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000089 0.000135 0.000205 0.000318 0.000502 0.000793 0.001298
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000081 0.000127 0.000199 0.000320 0.000523 0.000857 0.001463
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000125 0.000201 0.000334 0.000565 0.000961 0.001709
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000116 0.000191 0.000327 0.000571 0.001002 0.001849
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000105 0.000177 0.000311 0.000559 0.001010 0.001927
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000101 0.000174 0.000314 0.000580 0.001081 0.002134
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000099 0.000177 0.000327 0.000625 0.001204 0.002472
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000093 0.000169 0.000322 0.000633 0.001259 0.002677
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000088 0.000165 0.000322 0.000650 0.001332 0.002934
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000083 0.000157 0.000315 0.000654 0.001379 0.003139
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000080 0.000156 0.000319 0.000680 0.001476 0.003479
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000077 0.000153 0.000322 0.000703 0.001571 0.003828
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000071 0.000143 0.000307 0.000688 0.001574 0.003946
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000033 0.000069 0.000141 0.000309 0.000708 0.001665 0.004309
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000033 0.000068 0.000144 0.000322 0.000758 0.001835 0.004912
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000030 0.000065 0.000138 0.000316 0.000759 0.001881 0.005180
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000028 0.000060 0.000129 0.000300 0.000737 0.001865 0.005269